QBism:
Quantum Bayesianism
Quantum paradoxes and general weirdness are not even dreamt of in this philosophy.
To be, or not to be?
[ρ=1 V ρ=0]
An Introduction to QBism with an
Application to the Locality of Quantum Mechanics
Christopher A. Fuchs, N. David Mermin, Ruediger Schack
Arxiv
A theory of infinite jest, of most excellent fancy:
"It is very
difficult to get this point across to those who think
that
in doing probability calculations their equations are describing
the real world. But that is claiming something that one could
never know to be true; we call it the Mind Projection Fallacy..."
in doing probability calculations their equations are describing
the real world. But that is claiming something that one could
never know to be true; we call it the Mind Projection Fallacy..."
BERNOULLI'S URN REVISITED
CLEARING UP MYSTERIES (THE ORIGINAL GOAL)
E. T. Jaynes
Edwin Thompson Jaynes published works (#66)
...and an unlikely appearance in an obscure British comedy
...quantum mechanics will look a lot less mysterious...
Background article in Nature (2013)
Quantum Quest by Philip Ball
bounded in a nutshell and ...
... a king of infinite space,
were it not that I have bad dreams...
like Let's Make A Deal
(If this is the only deal in town, where do I sign?)
The Monty Hall Problem
A great example of simple probability beyond
reach of (almost all) common sense
(work in progress April 2015)
Innocent until proven guilty
[ρ=1 V ρ=0]
Quantum probability & the legal system
More pointless paradoxes of wave-function collapse...
In criminal cases, the prosecution must prove the defendant's guilt
Beyond a Reasonable Doubt. Before the final judgement many
observers might consider the accused to exist in a superposition of
states (partially guilty and innocent with complementary probabilities):
a|↑> + (1-a)|↓>
After judgement the probabilities collapse into
1|↑> + 0|↓>
or
0|↑> +1|↓>
Bureau of Meteorology (BOM) rain forecasts
More pointless paradoxes of wave-function collapse...
This one is
truly mysterious.
Post hoc
analysis shows that (for my suburb in Sydney at least)
the probabilities
simply don't add up! I think it's because the
chance of rain probability rating (i.e. 10% here) is the chance of rain
occurring anywhere in Sydney. But rain in Sydney is, predominantly,
in the form of scattered showers. Oh dear, I''l have to perform
a more detailed analysis to find out why the BOM rain forecasts
seem more pessimistic than experience suggests...
chance of rain probability rating (i.e. 10% here) is the chance of rain
occurring anywhere in Sydney. But rain in Sydney is, predominantly,
in the form of scattered showers. Oh dear, I''l have to perform
a more detailed analysis to find out why the BOM rain forecasts
seem more pessimistic than experience suggests...
Irrational exuberance and stock market jitters
More pointless paradoxes of wave-function collapse...
or
Extraordinary Popular Delusions and the Madness of Crowds
Quantum probability collides with investment gambling...
and an independent observer notes that my pension fund
managers are desperately competing to invest my cash in
almost anything...at any price...
(work in progress April 2015)
Pragmatism is the philosophical key
to removing the paradoxes of Quantum Mechanics...
From Modern Quantum Mysteries to Early American Pragmatism
C.A. Fuchs
...quick before it disappears...snapshot
Pragmatism: A New Name for Some Old Ways of Thinking
William James
Project Gutenberg
or
Why I am not a pragmatist (The immortal Martin Gardner [aka George Groth]...)
Improbable entertainment
Rosencrantz and Guildenstern are Dead
Tom Stoppard